Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Counting chickens 2

Here I go again, counting chickens.  Baylor had another bye week before starting Big 12 play, so I
looked around the league to see how we might stack up against the upcoming competition.

10/5: West Virginia.  3-2, 1-1.  W
After they were shut out by Maryland, I thought WVU must be terrible.  But then they beat an OSU team that I thought was pretty good.  I wasn't the only one, by the way; OSU was ranked #11 in the AP poll.  Is WVU that good?  Is OSU that bad?  Hard to say.  I still say Baylor gets a solid win in Waco next week.

10/12: Kansas State.  2-2, 0-1.  W
KSU was off Saturday, but last week they had a bad loss to a bad Texas team.  Can Baylor get their first win ever in Manhattan?  I think so.

10/19: Iowa State.  1-2, 0-0.  W
After being tied with Tulsa at halftime Thursday night, ISU put together their first win of the season.  I still say Baylor should win this one easily.

10/26: Kansas.  2-1, 0-0.  W
KU had to fight hard for a narrow win over Louisiana Tech last week, kicking a 52 yard field goal as time ran out.  Baylor will win this one handily.

11/7: Oklahoma.  4-0, 1-0.  W
Oklahoma got a huge win, beating Notre Dame solidly at South Bend.  I see the most likely scenario being both Baylor and OU undefeated when they meet for this Thursday night game in Waco.  Just as they did last year for KSU, Baylor will squash OU's national title hopes at this game.

11/16: Texas Tech.  4-0, 1-0.  W
They're in the top 25, but I'm not buying the Raiders this year.  The quarterbacks have been too unpredictable and inconsistent.  They'll get a couple more Big 12 wins to become bowl eligible, but they won't beat Baylor.

11/23: Oklahoma State.  3-1, 0-1.  W
This game was supposed to have Big 12 title implications.  It still might, but that was brought into question by OSU's loss to WVU.  By the time Baylor goes to Stillwater, they'll be firmly in the race for their first Big 12 title.

11/30: TCU.  2-2, 0-1.  W
They finally got their act together in the second half against SMU.  By the time they play Baylor, Casey Pachall might be back in action, which may or may not help the Frogs.  Their team has looked shaky this year.  Baylor will get a taste of revenge for the embarrassing loss in Waco last season.

12/7: Texas.  2-2, 1-0.  W
The Horns bounced back from the humiliating loss at BYU by beating KSU in Austin.  Still, they are a shadow of their former powerhouse self.  This final game at Floyd Casey Stadium will have Baylor playing for a BCS bowl bid, and Texas hoping to get one last win for bowl eligibilty.

Several teams in the Big 12 are struggling this year; that's no surprise.  So far, it looks like the final records will have a couple teams at the top, namely Baylor with no losses and OU with one loss (Baylor).  KU and ISU will share the basement.  And the middle will be full of 5-4 and 4-5 teams.

There's a lot of football to be played.  That goes without saying.  But I think Baylor has great chance to win every one of these games.  Big 12 champs!  It could happen!

Sic 'em!

No comments: